Ansan Greeners 0-5 Busan I Park — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.54
6+ Goals
10%
14.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.34 — our 28% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
21%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-7.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan I Park EU Bookmakers 57%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.09/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.88
-14% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
253 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 76%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
13.9 Crosses 18.9
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Busan I Park
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.38 xG 0.66
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
357 Passes 406
80% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.05.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
27.04.2024 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-1 HT 2-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
19.09.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
01.07.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-2 HT 0-2 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
29.04.2023 Busan I Park Busan I Park 0-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.09.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 3-1 HT 1-1 Busan I Park Busan I Park GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
0-5
AWAY Busan I Park
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 3
481 Passes 353
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Busan I Park cruised past Ansan Greeners 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Busan I Park as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 56% of the ball to Busan I Park's 44%, shots finished 11-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan I Park led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.17 for Busan I Park.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Ansan Greeners 0-5 Busan I Park in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Busan I Park?

Before kick-off our model rated an Busan I Park win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 28%, draw 27%, Busan I Park 46%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Busan I Park), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Busan I Park) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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