Cheongju FC 1-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.67
Over 2.5
43%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.3
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 33% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.9pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.2pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.99/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.19
-26% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
331 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cheongju FC
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Seongnam
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.08.2024 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
20.04.2024 Seongnam Seongnam 1-2 HT 1-0 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
23.09.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
03.07.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
01.04.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 3-2 HT 2-1 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cheongju FC
1-1
AWAY Seongnam
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 2
393 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 72%
14 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cheongju FC vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cheongju FC and Seongnam couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Cheongju FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Cheongju FC had 55% of the ball to Seongnam's 45%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Cheongju FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Cheongju FC and 1.00 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Cheongju FC vs Seongnam?

Cheongju FC 1-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cheongju FC vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cheongju FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cheongju FC 42%, draw 25%, Seongnam 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Cheongju FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cheongju FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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