Incheon United 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
11%
17.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
3.98
1/2
12%
29.5
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
20%
5.76
X/2
15%
5.54
X/X
12%
4.2
2/1
6%
31.0
2/2
11%
3.74
2/X
8%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+1.9pp
25%
Draw
28%
-4.0pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-1.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 40%
-27% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
2.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.60
-14% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 81%
26.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
26.7 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
295 Passes 542
76% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2025 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-0 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
22.09.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
17.07.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 HT 1-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
29.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
17.03.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
24.11.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-2
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 3
500 Passes 384
86% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai nicked a narrow win over Incheon United 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Hyundai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Incheon United had 55% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 45%, shots finished 13-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ulsan Hyundai led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Incheon United and 1.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Incheon United 1-2 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 37%, draw 25%, Ulsan Hyundai 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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