Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Jul 2024

Ulsan Hyundai
1-0 HT 1-0
Incheon United
📅17/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
26%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.03
Over 2.5
59%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.81
No
43%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.78
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.22
6+ Goals
15%
11.1
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.22 — our 26% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.01
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
9%
15.65
X/1
17%
3.82
X/2
10%
10.7
X/X
7%
5.61
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
22.3
2/2
11%
8.26
2/X
7%
16.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 9% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+8.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
45%
-4.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
55%
+4.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
51%
+5.3pp
43%
BTTS No
49%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulsan Hyundai v Incheon United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 21%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -4%
1.86/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.28
+25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
381 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 76%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
18.5 Crosses 13.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.7

Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
538 Passes 338
85% Pass Accuracy 79%
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
29.05.2024 Incheon United Incheon United 1-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
17.03.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
24.11.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
08.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
12.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
25.04.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai squeezed past Incheon United 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ulsan Hyundai as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Incheon United led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 1.50 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United?

Ulsan Hyundai 1-0 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 51%, draw 23%, Incheon United 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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