Pohang Steelers 5-1 FC Seoul — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.68
No
53%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 29% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.28
1/2
11%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
20%
5.13
X/2
8%
6.14
X/X
15%
4.6
2/1
9%
26.5
2/2
13%
4.23
2/X
5%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.1pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Seoul EU Bookmakers 36%
+11% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
1.49/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.24
+3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +15%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
20.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
19.6 Crosses 16.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
1W-4D-1L
AWAY FC Seoul
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.34 xG 1.68
49% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
382 Passes 425
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
22 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-2 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
13.04.2024 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-4 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
04.08.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 2-2 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
11.06.2023 FC Seoul FC Seoul 1-1 HT 1-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
15.04.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
30.07.2022 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Seoul FC Seoul GKOK
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers cruised past FC Seoul 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.67 for FC Seoul.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?

Pohang Steelers 5-1 FC Seoul in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs FC Seoul?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 41%, draw 28%, FC Seoul 32%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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