Gimpo Citizen 0-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Jul 2024

📅17/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
36%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
33%
2.74
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.26
6+ Goals
9%
21.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.74 — our 33% vs market 30.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
6.01
1/2
9%
27.0
1/X
7%
15.25
X/1
17%
7.39
X/2
12%
4.12
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
2.67
2/X
9%
14.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
25%
+11.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
36%
Away Win
48%
-12.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 52%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.91/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.26
-22% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
262 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.9
Crosses 18.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
POST-MATCH Gimpo Citizen vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United squeezed past Gimpo Citizen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Jeju United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Gimpo Citizen vs Jeju United?

Gimpo Citizen 0-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimpo Citizen vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimpo Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Gimpo Citizen 37%, draw 27%, Jeju United 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimpo Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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