Incheon United 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 29 May 2024

Incheon United
1-1 HT 0-0
Ulsan Hyundai
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.17
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
42%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.68
No
54%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
9%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.08
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
7%
12.6
X/1
10%
7.22
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
4.86
X/X
12%
4.46
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
15%
2.88
2/X
5%
12.2
Value flag · X/2 at 4.86 — our 21% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
28%
+5.1pp
24%
Draw
28%
-3.7pp
42%
Away Win
44%
-1.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.0pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.4pp
54%
BTTS No
44%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Incheon United v Ulsan Hyundai — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Incheon United EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -8%
1.01/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.02
-2% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -3%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 81%
15.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
14.9 Crosses 15.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.6

Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Incheon United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.54 xG 2.56
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
329 Passes 526
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
9 Box Touches 34
3 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 HT 1-1 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
24.11.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
08.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
12.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
25.04.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
01.10.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 0-3 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK

Incheon United 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Incheon United
1-1
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
371 Passes 519
80% Pass Accuracy 85%
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Incheon United and Ulsan Hyundai shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Incheon United had 48% of the ball to Ulsan Hyundai's 52%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Incheon United and 1.50 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Incheon United 1-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Incheon United vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Incheon United 33%, draw 24%, Ulsan Hyundai 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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