Gangwon 2-1 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 29 May 2024

📅29/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
34%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.61
No
51%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
3.25
6+ Goals
9%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 28% vs market 21.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.65
1/2
5%
27.5
1/X
5%
12.6
X/1
13%
5.69
X/2
13%
5.67
X/X
13%
4.81
2/1
9%
27.5
2/2
16%
3.63
2/X
7%
12.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.0pp
51%
BTTS No
42%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangwon EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / -7%
1.25/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.15
+23% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +37%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
15.4 Crosses 17.8
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangwon
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 0.72
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
292 Passes 430
73% Pass Accuracy 83%
17 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
07.04.2024 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-3 HT 1-1 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
16.09.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-3 HT 1-2 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.06.2023 Gangwon Gangwon 1-2 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
29.04.2023 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
11.10.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-0 HT 1-0 Gangwon Gangwon GKOK
03.08.2022 Gangwon Gangwon 2-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gangwon
2-1
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
383 Passes 449
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gangwon vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gangwon nicked a narrow win over Jeonbuk Motors 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gangwon as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gangwon had 51% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 49%, shots finished 14-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gangwon had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gangwon and 1.17 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Gangwon vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gangwon 2-1 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangwon vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gangwon win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Gangwon 41%, draw 25%, Jeonbuk Motors 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gangwon) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gangwon) ✗ BTTS No
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