Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Jeju United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 29 May 2024

Daejeon Citizen
0-1 HT 0-1
Jeju United
📅29/05/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.15
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
15.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.58
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
5.36
X/2
16%
5.81
X/X
14%
4.35
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
13%
4.0
2/X
5%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
37%
Away Win
34%
+3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Daejeon Citizen v Jeju United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daejeon Citizen EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeju United EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
0.93/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.15
-30% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
317 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.7
19.0 Crosses 17.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daejeon Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Jeju United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
312 Passes 338
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.03.2024 Jeju United Jeju United 3-1 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
25.11.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 0-2 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
08.10.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 1-0 HT 1-0 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK
24.06.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 1-1 HT 0-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOR
24.05.2023 Jeju United Jeju United 4-3 HT 2-0 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen GKOK
30.04.2023 Daejeon Citizen Daejeon Citizen 0-3 HT 0-2 Jeju United Jeju United GKOK

Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Jeju United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daejeon Citizen
0-1
AWAY Jeju United
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
490 Passes 315
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jeju United edged past Daejeon Citizen 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 25% / 37%) promised a tight game; Jeju United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Daejeon Citizen had 61% of the ball to Jeju United's 39%, shots finished 16-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeju United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Daejeon Citizen and 1.83 for Jeju United.

What was the final score of Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Daejeon Citizen 0-1 Jeju United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 29/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daejeon Citizen vs Jeju United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daejeon Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Daejeon Citizen 38%, draw 25%, Jeju United 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daejeon Citizen) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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