Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 Incheon United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.77
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.22
6+ Goals
9%
20.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.65
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
18%
4.22
X/2
9%
7.73
X/X
11%
4.21
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
14%
6.21
2/X
9%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Incheon United EU Bookmakers 27%
+3% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.67/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.24
+4% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
392 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 78%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
18.4 Crosses 14.0
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Incheon United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.65 xG 0.36
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
525 Passes 313
85% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
24.11.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 3-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
08.10.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-0 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOK
12.07.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 1-2 HT 0-0 Incheon United Incheon United GKOR
25.04.2023 Incheon United Incheon United 0-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
01.10.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 0-3 HT 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
14.09.2022 Incheon United Incheon United 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ulsan Hyundai
3-3
AWAY Incheon United
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 15
9 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 1
518 Passes 303
87% Pass Accuracy 80%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai and Incheon United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Ulsan Hyundai at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ulsan Hyundai had 55% of the ball to Incheon United's 45%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulsan Hyundai and 0.83 for Incheon United.

What was the final score of Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United?

Ulsan Hyundai 3-3 Incheon United in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Hyundai 44%, draw 28%, Incheon United 28%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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