Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.81
No
47%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.92
6+ Goals
12%
17.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.81
1/2
9%
27.5
1/X
6%
13.7
X/1
10%
6.46
X/2
15%
4.7
X/X
17%
4.36
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
18%
3.08
2/X
7%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
30%
-1.2pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.3pp
42%
Away Win
43%
-1.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.3pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.03/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.15
+28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
325 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
12.9 Crosses 17.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.08 xG 1.80
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
342 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
13 Box Touches 28
11 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.09.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-2 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
02.07.2022 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-2 HT 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOK
19.03.2022 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 1-1 HT 0-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
27.09.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 0-1 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
23.08.2020 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
05.07.2020 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 0-0 Jeonbuk Motors Jeonbuk Motors GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-0
AWAY Jeonbuk Motors
43% Ball Possession 57%
4 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 9
350 Passes 434
76% Pass Accuracy 79%
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk Motors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu nicked a narrow win over Jeonbuk Motors 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was Jeonbuk Motors at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 43% of the ball to Jeonbuk Motors's 57%, shots finished 4-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jeonbuk Motors led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.33 for Jeonbuk Motors.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 Jeonbuk Motors in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk Motors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jeonbuk Motors win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 29%, draw 29%, Jeonbuk Motors 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jeonbuk Motors) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
17 Mar 2024
08:00 Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju Analysis →
10:30 Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United Analysis →