Pohang Steelers 1-0 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 17 Mar 2024

Pohang Steelers
1-0 HT 0-0
Gwangju
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Classic – 2024

Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
33%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.66
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.42
6+ Goals
9%
22.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
3.77
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.45
X/1
15%
5.25
X/2
12%
5.54
X/X
14%
3.99
2/1
14%
32.0
2/2
14%
4.07
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.2pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.4pp
33%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.3pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Pohang Steelers v Gwangju — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pohang Steelers EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +1%
1.65/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.33
+22% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
22.7 Crosses 18.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pohang Steelers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.62 xG 2.11
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
320 Passes 359
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 20
14 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-0 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
13.08.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-1 HT 1-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.06.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 4-2 HT 1-1 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK
08.04.2023 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 2-0 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
07.11.2021 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers 1-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
03.10.2021 Gwangju Gwangju 2-3 HT 0-0 Pohang Steelers Pohang Steelers GKOK

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Gwangju — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pohang Steelers
1-0
AWAY Gwangju
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 1
403 Passes 428
83% Pass Accuracy 87%
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pohang Steelers edged past Gwangju 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pohang Steelers as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Pohang Steelers had 45% of the ball to Gwangju's 55%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pohang Steelers and 1.50 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Pohang Steelers 1-0 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pohang Steelers win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pohang Steelers 41%, draw 26%, Gwangju 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pohang Steelers), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pohang Steelers) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOK More South Kore - K League Classic
17 Mar 2024
08:00 Gimcheon Sangmu vs Jeonbuk Motors Analysis →
10:30 Ulsan Hyundai vs Incheon United Analysis →