Koninklijke HFC 1-2 BVV Barendrecht — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
35%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
41%
-5.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.1pp
35%
Away Win
33%
+1.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-4.8pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koninklijke HFC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY BVV Barendrecht EU Bookmakers 37%
+16% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.35/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.20
-17% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / +23%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
344 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koninklijke HFC
0W-1D-2L
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
08.11.2025 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 2-0 HT 2-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
22.02.2025 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC 0-0 HT 0-0 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht HOLTW
28.09.2024 BVV Barendrecht BVV Barendrecht 3-2 HT 1-0 Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koninklijke HFC
1-2
AWAY BVV Barendrecht
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Koninklijke HFC vs BVV Barendrecht
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BVV Barendrecht squeezed past Koninklijke HFC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; BVV Barendrecht found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Koninklijke HFC had 51% of the ball to BVV Barendrecht's 49%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, BVV Barendrecht led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Koninklijke HFC and 1.67 for BVV Barendrecht.

What was the final score of Koninklijke HFC vs BVV Barendrecht?

Koninklijke HFC 1-2 BVV Barendrecht in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koninklijke HFC vs BVV Barendrecht?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koninklijke HFC win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Koninklijke HFC 35%, draw 30%, BVV Barendrecht 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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