Katwijk 3-2 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
41%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+2.4pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.8pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Katwijk EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 49%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.91/2.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/1.65
-39% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -12%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
364 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Katwijk
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.39 xG 1.31
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
196 Passes 268
67% Pass Accuracy 72%
24 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 0
08.11.2025 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-3 HT 0-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
22.02.2025 Katwijk Katwijk 1-0 HT 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
28.09.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 HT 1-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
06.04.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 0-3 HT 0-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
20.10.2018 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 HT 1-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
07.10.2017 Katwijk Katwijk 5-0 HT 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Katwijk
3-2
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
14 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Katwijk vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk edged past Rijnsburgse Boys 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Rijnsburgse Boys at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Katwijk had 48% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 52%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Katwijk had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Katwijk and 0.50 for Rijnsburgse Boys.

What was the final score of Katwijk vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Katwijk 3-2 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Katwijk vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Katwijk 34%, draw 25%, Rijnsburgse Boys 42%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
11 Apr 2026
15:30 Koninklijke HFC vs BVV Barendrecht Analysis →
15:30 Excelsior Maassluis vs Quick Boys Analysis →
15:30 GVVV vs HHC Hardenberg Analysis →
15:30 RKAV Volendam vs Ijsselmeervogels Analysis →
15:30 Hoek vs Kozakken Boys Analysis →
16:00 SV Spakenburg vs Jong Almere City Analysis →