Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 Katwijk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.18
Draw
19%
3.64
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.46
No
52%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
42%
+4.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.9pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
64%
-16.0pp
52%
BTTS No
36%
+16.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Katwijk EU Bookmakers 37%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
0.73/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.76
-56% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -55% / -22%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rijnsburgse Boys
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Katwijk
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 3.33
1.31 xG 0.39
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
268 Passes 196
72% Pass Accuracy 67%
17 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 0-3 HT 0-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
20.10.2018 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 HT 1-1 Katwijk Katwijk HOLTW
07.10.2017 Katwijk Katwijk 5-0 HT 1-0 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys HOLTW
POST-MATCH Rijnsburgse Boys vs Katwijk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Katwijk edged past Rijnsburgse Boys 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Rijnsburgse Boys at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Katwijk led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Rijnsburgse Boys and 3.33 for Katwijk.

What was the final score of Rijnsburgse Boys vs Katwijk?

Rijnsburgse Boys 1-2 Katwijk in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rijnsburgse Boys vs Katwijk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rijnsburgse Boys 46%, draw 19%, Katwijk 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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