Jong Sparta 1-2 ADO 20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.33
Draw
28%
4.95
Away
23%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.63
Over 2.5
58%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.66
No
43%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
70%
-21.7pp
28%
Draw
17%
+11.5pp
23%
Away Win
13%
+10.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.7pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY ADO 20 EU Bookmakers 16%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.40/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/2.41
-38% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
411 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jong Sparta
1W-0D-1L
AWAY ADO 20
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
21.01.2024 ADO 20 ADO 20 1-5 HT 0-4 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta HOLTW
26.08.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-1 HT 0-0 ADO 20 ADO 20 HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jong Sparta
1-2
AWAY ADO 20
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Jong Sparta vs ADO 20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADO 20 squeezed past Jong Sparta 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Jong Sparta at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Jong Sparta had 59% of the ball to ADO 20's 41%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Jong Sparta and 1.00 for ADO 20.

What was the final score of Jong Sparta vs ADO 20?

Jong Sparta 1-2 ADO 20 in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jong Sparta vs ADO 20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Jong Sparta 49%, draw 28%, ADO 20 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Sparta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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