Noordwijk 1-3 HHC Hardenberg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.18
Over 2.5
49%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.5
No
52%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
23%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.9pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
39%
Away Win
36%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
42%
+8.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
58%
-8.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
62%
-14.9pp
52%
BTTS No
38%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Noordwijk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY HHC Hardenberg EU Bookmakers 40%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.23/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.36
-11% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Noordwijk
0W-0D-1L
AWAY HHC Hardenberg
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
24.02.2024 HHC Hardenberg HHC Hardenberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Noordwijk Noordwijk HOLTW
POST-MATCH Noordwijk vs HHC Hardenberg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HHC Hardenberg beat Noordwijk 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day HHC Hardenberg made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Noordwijk vs HHC Hardenberg?

Noordwijk 1-3 HHC Hardenberg in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Noordwijk vs HHC Hardenberg?

Before kick-off our model rated an HHC Hardenberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Noordwijk 38%, draw 23%, HHC Hardenberg 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (HHC Hardenberg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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