Tobol 1-1 Kairat — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kazakistan - Super League, 11 Apr 2026

Tobol
1 - 1 HT 1 - 1
Kairat
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
47%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.75
Over
46%
1.99
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.87
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
2%
2/2
28%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Tobol The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Kairat The Market 49%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.62
1.28 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 0.97
Average Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Strong
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 336 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tobol
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kairat
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
28.02.2026 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 2-1 Tobol Tobol KAZSK
26.07.2025 Tobol Tobol 1-3 HT 0-1 Kairat Kairat KAZP
27.04.2025 Kairat Kairat 2-1 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
25.08.2024 Kairat Kairat 2-2 HT 1-0 Tobol Tobol KAZP
15.06.2024 Tobol Tobol 1-0 HT 1-0 Kairat Kairat KAZP
13.08.2023 Kairat Kairat 3-0 HT 2-1 Tobol Tobol KAZP
REVIEW Tobol vs Kairat
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Tobol and Kairat traded blows to a 1-1 standstill.

A gentle 47% lean on Kairat didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kairat led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Tobol and 2.00 for Kairat.

Tobol vs Kairat Result & Final Score

Tobol 1 - 1 Kairat in the Kazakistan - Super League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Tobol vs Kairat Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Kairat win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tobol 25%, draw 28%, Kairat 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kairat) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kairat) ✓ Under 2.5
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