Super Nova II 3-1 JFK Ventspils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.0
Over 2.5
48%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-3.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
46%
+5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
54%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Super Nova II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY JFK Ventspils EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
194 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Super Nova II vs JFK Ventspils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Super Nova II saw off JFK Ventspils 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Super Nova II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Super Nova II vs JFK Ventspils?

Super Nova II 3-1 JFK Ventspils in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Super Nova II vs JFK Ventspils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Super Nova II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Super Nova II 38%, draw 29%, JFK Ventspils 34%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Super Nova II), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Super Nova II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LET1 More Latvia - 1st Division
11 Apr 2026
16:00 Tukums II vs Riga Mariners Analysis →
17:00 Rigas FS II vs Metta / LU Riga Analysis →
18:00 Rezekne / BJSS vs Skanste Analysis →