Tukums II 1-3 Riga Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
16%
4.34
Away
61%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.53
No
55%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
29%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+4.1pp
16%
Draw
20%
-3.6pp
61%
Away Win
62%
-0.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
61%
-15.9pp
55%
BTTS No
39%
+15.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 66%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.75/3.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.01/1.41
-29% / -49% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / -13%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Riga Mariners
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
26.09.2025 Tukums II Tukums II 0-4 HT 0-1 Riga Mariners LET1
17.05.2025 Riga Mariners 4-0 HT 2-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
FAQ Tukums II vs Riga Mariners
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Riga Mariners beat Tukums II 3-1 away from home in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11 Apr 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 45%.

Across their last 2 meetings in our records, Riga Mariners lead the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Tukums II and 4.00 for Riga Mariners.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Riga Mariners?

Tukums II 1-3 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Riga Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 22%, draw 16%, Riga Mariners 61%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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