Riga Mariners 4-0 Tukums II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

Riga Mariners
4-0 HT 2-0
Tukums II
📅17/05/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Riga Mariners vs Tukums II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.57
Draw
35%
4.19
Away
20%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.29
Over 2.5
45%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
59%
-14.7pp
35%
Draw
21%
+14.1pp
21%
Away Win
20%
+0.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
40%
+15.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
60%
-15.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.8pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Riga Mariners v Tukums II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Tukums II EU Bookmakers 23%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/2.15
-56% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Riga Mariners vs Tukums II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners swept aside Tukums II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Riga Mariners vs Tukums II?

Riga Mariners 4-0 Tukums II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Riga Mariners vs Tukums II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Riga Mariners 45%, draw 35%, Tukums II 21%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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