Skanste 1-0 Marupe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 17 May 2025

📅17/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.66
Draw
19%
3.8
Away
24%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
25%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
23%
-3.8pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skanste EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Marupe EU Bookmakers 25%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +75% / +75%
2.11/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-4% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skanste
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Marupe
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.08.2024 Marupe Marupe 0-0 HT 0-0 Skanste Skanste LET1
POST-MATCH Skanste vs Marupe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skanste squeezed past Marupe 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Skanste as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Skanste vs Marupe?

Skanste 1-0 Marupe in the Latvia - 1st Division on 17/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skanste vs Marupe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Skanste win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Skanste 57%, draw 19%, Marupe 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Skanste), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Skanste) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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