03/08/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-2
Marupe vs Skanste Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
5%
X/X
19%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
29%
Draw
23%
34%
Away Win
40%
51%
Under 2.5
44%
49%
Over 2.5
56%
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
46%
BTTS No
42%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marupe v Skanste — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marupe
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Skanste
EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-3% /
-3%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-11%
/
-7%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
11
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
5
367 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
321 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Marupe vs Skanste
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marupe and Skanste fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.
Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
What was the final score of Marupe vs Skanste?
Marupe 0-0 Skanste in the Latvia - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marupe vs Skanste?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marupe win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Marupe 38%, draw 29%, Skanste 34%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Marupe), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Marupe)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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