03/08/2024
·
15:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-1
Ogre United vs Riga FC II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
28%
Draw
21%
46%
Away Win
58%
53%
Under 2.5
44%
47%
Over 2.5
56%
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
45%
BTTS No
47%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ogre United v Riga FC II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ogre United
EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY
Riga FC II
EU Bookmakers 62%
-20% /
-20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
0.33/1.67
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
3.69/0.65
-64%
/
+15%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+99%
/
+60%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
9
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
4
Corners
6
162 · 67%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
333 · 83%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Ogre United vs Riga FC II Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Ogre United
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Riga FC II
0.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Ogre United vs Riga FC II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ogre United and Riga FC II shared the points in a 2-2 draw.
Our pre-match lean was Riga FC II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Ogre United vs Riga FC II?
Ogre United 2-2 Riga FC II in the Latvia - 1st Division on 03/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ogre United vs Riga FC II?
Before kick-off our model rated an Riga FC II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ogre United 26%, draw 28%, Riga FC II 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Riga FC II), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Riga FC II)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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3 Aug 2024