Tukums II 0-4 Riga Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - 1st Division, 26 Sep 2025

Tukums II
0-4 HT 0-1
Riga Mariners
📅26/09/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Latvia - 1st Division – 2025

Tukums II vs Riga Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.91
Draw
12%
4.95
Away
72%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.61
No
38%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
33%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
3%
X/1
7%
X/2
27%
X/X
5%
2/1
3%
2/2
36%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+2.9pp
12%
Draw
17%
-4.7pp
72%
Away Win
70%
+1.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
58%
+4.1pp
38%
BTTS No
42%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tukums II v Riga Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tukums II EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Riga Mariners EU Bookmakers 75%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.96/3.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.03/1.77
-25% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
240 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 415 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Tukums II vs Riga Mariners Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tukums II
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Riga Mariners
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
17.05.2025 Riga Mariners 4-0 HT 2-0 Tukums II Tukums II LET1
POST-MATCH Tukums II vs Riga Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Riga Mariners swept aside Tukums II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Riga Mariners as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (67%) landed while both teams to score (62%) missed.

What was the final score of Tukums II vs Riga Mariners?

Tukums II 0-4 Riga Mariners in the Latvia - 1st Division on 26/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tukums II vs Riga Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Riga Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Tukums II 16%, draw 12%, Riga Mariners 72%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Riga Mariners), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Riga Mariners) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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