Banga Gargzdai 2-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.84
Draw
41%
2.94
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.99
No
44%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
53%
4-5 Goals
11%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
26%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
32%
-8.7pp
41%
Draw
30%
+10.6pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-1.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.8pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
46%
+9.9pp
44%
BTTS No
54%
-9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.12/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.75/1.15
-2% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -4%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Suduva
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
17.08.2025 Suduva Suduva 2-1 HT 0-1 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
11.05.2025 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
09.03.2025 Suduva Suduva 1-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
27.10.2024 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
02.08.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 1-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2-1
AWAY Suduva
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Banga Gargzdai squeezed past Suduva 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (23% / 41% / 36%) promised a tight game; Banga Gargzdai found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (66%) missed.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 32% of the ball to Suduva's 68%, shots finished 11-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Suduva led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 1.17 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva?

Banga Gargzdai 2-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 23%, draw 41%, Suduva 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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