Kauno Zalgiris 5-0 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.43
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
6%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
66%
+1.1pp
17%
Draw
21%
-3.9pp
16%
Away Win
13%
+2.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.0pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 16%
-20% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.42/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-30% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +107%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
420 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
27.08.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 HT 0-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
19.06.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
16.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
24.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
23.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-1 HT 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
5-0
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
69% Ball Possession 31%
17 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris ran out comfortable winners over Hegelmann Litauen 5-0. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 69% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 31%, shots finished 17-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Kauno Zalgiris 5-0 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 67%, draw 17%, Hegelmann Litauen 16%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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