Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
36%
3.18
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.74
Over 2.5
36%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
20%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-2.7pp
36%
Draw
28%
+8.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
54%
+9.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
46%
-9.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 45%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +26% / +26%
2.69/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.64
+127% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +129%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 364 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
24.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
23.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-1 HT 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
28.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
09.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
12.11.2023 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 2-4 HT 0-2 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hegelmann Litauen
1-2
AWAY Kauno Zalgiris
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris squeezed past Hegelmann Litauen 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (28% / 36% / 36%) promised a tight game; Kauno Zalgiris found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hegelmann Litauen had 50% of the ball to Kauno Zalgiris's 50%, shots finished 13-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hegelmann Litauen and 2.33 for Kauno Zalgiris.

What was the final score of Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 Kauno Zalgiris in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hegelmann Litauen vs Kauno Zalgiris?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hegelmann Litauen 28%, draw 36%, Kauno Zalgiris 36%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (28/36/36) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
19 Jun 2025
19:30 FK Panevezys vs FK Dainava Alytus Analysis →
19:30 Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis →
20:00 FK Riteriai vs FA Siauliai Analysis →
20:00 Dziugas Telsiai vs Banga Gargzdai Analysis →