Suduva 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 19 Jun 2025

📅19/06/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.6pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suduva EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 45%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.33/0.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/1.91
-77% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +53% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 216 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suduva
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.04.2025 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
25.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
23.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
28.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
10.03.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-3 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
30.09.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
POST-MATCH Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva and Zalgiris Vilnius couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Suduva at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Suduva and 2.33 for Zalgiris Vilnius.

What was the final score of Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Suduva 2-2 Zalgiris Vilnius in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 19/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suduva vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suduva win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Suduva 41%, draw 26%, Zalgiris Vilnius 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Suduva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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