Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
62%
-10.6pp
29%
Draw
22%
+6.6pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.7pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 19%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.91/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.10
+53% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
324 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Suduva
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 1-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LITA
23.06.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
28.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
10.03.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-3 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
30.09.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
21.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3-0
AWAY Suduva
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius swept aside Suduva 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 54% of the ball to Suduva's 46%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 0.83 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 51%, draw 29%, Suduva 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
LITA More Lithuania - 1st Division
16 Apr 2025
18:30 Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai Analysis →
19:00 Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen Analysis →
19:00 FA Siauliai vs FK Riteriai Analysis →
19:30 FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys Analysis →