Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Jun 2024

📅23/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.29
Draw
26%
5.15
Away
17%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
6%
1/X
11%
X/1
11%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
74%
-16.2pp
25%
Draw
17%
+8.7pp
17%
Away Win
10%
+7.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+14.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 12%
-9% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
2.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.46
+13% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
496 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Suduva
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.04.2024 Suduva Suduva 1-1 HT 0-0 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
10.03.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 3-3 HT 2-1 Suduva Suduva LIT1
30.09.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
21.07.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 0-0 Suduva Suduva LITA
20.05.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-1 HT 0-1 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius LIT1
01.04.2023 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 HT 1-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zalgiris Vilnius
4-0
AWAY Suduva
66% Ball Possession 34%
22 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zalgiris Vilnius swept aside Suduva 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Zalgiris Vilnius as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zalgiris Vilnius had 66% of the ball to Suduva's 34%, shots finished 22-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zalgiris Vilnius had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.00 for Suduva.

What was the final score of Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Zalgiris Vilnius 4-0 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zalgiris Vilnius win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Zalgiris Vilnius 57%, draw 25%, Suduva 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zalgiris Vilnius) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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