Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
29%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
45%
-6.5pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.0pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+2.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.4pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Banga Gargzdai EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai EU Bookmakers 30%
-55% / -55% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +22% / +22%
0.42/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/0.44
-62% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +148%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Banga Gargzdai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
5 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
22.09.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-2 HT 0-2 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LITA
06.07.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-0 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
19.05.2024 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 1-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
29.03.2024 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-2 HT 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LIT1
23.09.2023 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai 0-1 HT 0-0 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai LIT1
14.07.2023 Banga Gargzdai Banga Gargzdai 0-1 HT 0-0 Dziugas Telsiai Dziugas Telsiai LITA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Banga Gargzdai
0-1
AWAY Dziugas Telsiai
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dziugas Telsiai squeezed past Banga Gargzdai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and on the day Dziugas Telsiai made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Banga Gargzdai had 65% of the ball to Dziugas Telsiai's 35%, shots finished 21-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Banga Gargzdai and 0.67 for Dziugas Telsiai.

What was the final score of Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Banga Gargzdai 0-1 Dziugas Telsiai in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Banga Gargzdai vs Dziugas Telsiai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Banga Gargzdai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Banga Gargzdai 39%, draw 32%, Dziugas Telsiai 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Banga Gargzdai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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