FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 16 Apr 2025

📅16/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
49%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.54
Over 2.5
46%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.16
No
47%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
11%
1/X
12%
X/1
10%
X/2
30%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.5pp
28%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
49%
Away Win
47%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
61%
-6.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
39%
+6.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
42%
+10.8pp
47%
BTTS No
58%
-10.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 50%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
0.51/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/2.49
-71% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +108% / -45%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
25.08.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 HT 1-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LITA
22.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
10.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
05.11.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
13.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys beat FK Dainava Alytus 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had FK Panevezys as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys?

FK Dainava Alytus 1-3 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 16/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 23%, draw 28%, FK Panevezys 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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