FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 FK Panevezys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 25 Aug 2024

📅25/08/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.84
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
41%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.48
Over 2.5
42%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
24%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
32%
-5.4pp
33%
Draw
30%
+2.7pp
41%
Away Win
38%
+2.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
64%
-6.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
36%
+6.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 42%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.98/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/3.00
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +89% / -52%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Dainava Alytus
0W-2D-4L
AWAY FK Panevezys
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.06.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
28.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
10.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
05.11.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
13.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
07.06.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
POST-MATCH FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Dainava Alytus and FK Panevezys shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was FK Panevezys at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for FK Dainava Alytus and 1.17 for FK Panevezys.

What was the final score of FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys?

FK Dainava Alytus 1-1 FK Panevezys in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 25/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Dainava Alytus vs FK Panevezys?

Before kick-off our model rated an FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Dainava Alytus 26%, draw 33%, FK Panevezys 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FK Panevezys), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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