FK Panevezys 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 22 Jun 2024

📅22/06/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.54
Over 2.5
45%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
31%
Away Win
19%
+11.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
61%
-5.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
39%
+5.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.9pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FK Panevezys EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
1.51/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.55
-12% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FK Panevezys
3W-3D-0L
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
28.04.2024 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
10.03.2024 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
05.11.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 1-2 HT 1-0 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
13.08.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 2-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
07.06.2023 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus 0-1 HT 0-1 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys LIT1
15.04.2023 FK Panevezys FK Panevezys 0-0 HT 0-0 FK Dainava Alytus FK Dainava Alytus LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FK Panevezys
2-0
AWAY FK Dainava Alytus
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FK Panevezys vs FK Dainava Alytus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Panevezys beat FK Dainava Alytus 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FK Panevezys as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, FK Panevezys had 54% of the ball to FK Dainava Alytus's 46%, shots finished 8-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FK Panevezys had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for FK Panevezys and 0.17 for FK Dainava Alytus.

What was the final score of FK Panevezys vs FK Dainava Alytus?

FK Panevezys 2-0 FK Dainava Alytus in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FK Panevezys vs FK Dainava Alytus?

Before kick-off our model rated a FK Panevezys win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split FK Panevezys 45%, draw 24%, FK Dainava Alytus 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FK Panevezys), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FK Panevezys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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