22/06/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Tauras Taurage vs BFA Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
15%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
38%
28%
Draw
23%
34%
Away Win
39%
42%
Under 2.5
35%
58%
Over 2.5
65%
55%
BTTS Yes
68%
45%
BTTS No
32%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tauras Taurage v BFA — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Tauras Taurage
EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY
BFA
EU Bookmakers 43%
-6% /
-6%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-4% /
-4%
1.66/1.35
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.04/1.59
+10%
/
-5%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+38%
/
-22%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
13
6
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
353 · 80%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
359 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.1
POST-MATCH
Tauras Taurage vs BFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Tauras Taurage ran out comfortable winners over BFA 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Tauras Taurage made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.
What was the final score of Tauras Taurage vs BFA?
Tauras Taurage 4-0 BFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tauras Taurage vs BFA?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tauras Taurage win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Tauras Taurage 37%, draw 28%, BFA 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tauras Taurage), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Tauras Taurage)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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LIT1
More Lithuania - 1st Division
22 Jun 2024