22/06/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
FK Riteriai vs Be1 NFA Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
36%
31%
Draw
27%
41%
Away Win
37%
50%
Under 2.5
51%
50%
Over 2.5
49%
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
48%
BTTS No
46%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FK Riteriai v Be1 NFA — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FK Riteriai
EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Be1 NFA
EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% /
-20%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
0.99/1.31
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.45/0.98
-30%
/
-6%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+11%
/
+54%
49%
Ball Possession
51%
10
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
327 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
332 · 78%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.4
Yellow Cards
1.0
POST-MATCH
FK Riteriai vs Be1 NFA
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
FK Riteriai edged past Be1 NFA 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Be1 NFA at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of FK Riteriai vs Be1 NFA?
FK Riteriai 2-1 Be1 NFA in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FK Riteriai vs Be1 NFA?
Before kick-off our model rated an Be1 NFA win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FK Riteriai 28%, draw 31%, Be1 NFA 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Be1 NFA) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Be1 NFA)
✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
LIT1
More Lithuania - 1st Division
22 Jun 2024