Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 27 Aug 2025

📅27/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.61
No
44%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
12%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen EU Bookmakers 32%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
2.13/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.46/0.39
+79% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
19.06.2025 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-2 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
16.04.2025 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 3-1 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LITA
24.08.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 1-1 HT 1-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LITA
23.06.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 4-1 HT 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
28.04.2024 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen 0-1 HT 0-1 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris LIT1
09.03.2024 Kauno Zalgiris Kauno Zalgiris 1-2 HT 1-0 Hegelmann Litauen Hegelmann Litauen LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris
2-1
AWAY Hegelmann Litauen
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris nicked a narrow win over Hegelmann Litauen 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kauno Zalgiris as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Kauno Zalgiris had 59% of the ball to Hegelmann Litauen's 41%, shots finished 8-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kauno Zalgiris had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Kauno Zalgiris and 1.00 for Hegelmann Litauen.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Kauno Zalgiris 2-1 Hegelmann Litauen in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 27/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Litauen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kauno Zalgiris win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris 46%, draw 24%, Hegelmann Litauen 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kauno Zalgiris) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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