Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

Baltika Kaliningrad
2-2 HT 0-1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
📅11/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
14%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.54
Over 2.5
47%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.27
No
56%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.28
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
4.91
6+ Goals
10%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.24
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
7%
16.65
X/1
26%
3.77
X/2
5%
9.49
X/X
12%
4.17
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
5%
8.85
2/X
6%
18.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
56%
+6.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
13%
Away Win
18%
-4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
61%
-8.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
39%
+8.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+3.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Baltika Kaliningrad v Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 21%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.99/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.58
+38% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +10%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
334 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 70%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
12.0 Crosses 13.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.9

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.08 xG 0.82
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
215 Passes 203
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
26.10.2025 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
30.03.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-0 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
12.11.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 0-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
POST-MATCH Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Baltika Kaliningrad and Pari Nizhny Novgorod shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Baltika Kaliningrad carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Baltika Kaliningrad had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 0.00 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Baltika Kaliningrad 2-2 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 62%, draw 24%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 13%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
11 Apr 2026
14:00 Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny Analysis →
16:30 Rubin Kazan vs FK Orenburg Analysis →