Krylya Sovetov 2-2 FC Akhmat Grozny — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 11 Apr 2026

📅11/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
16%
3.88
6+ Goals
8%
17.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.79 — our 34% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.83
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
7%
13.35
X/1
16%
5.51
X/2
11%
5.53
X/X
11%
4.27
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
19%
3.86
2/X
7%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.4pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 39%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -27%
0.98/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.21
+13% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -14%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
263 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 76%
16.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
16.3 Crosses 14.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krylya Sovetov
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.69 xG 1.76
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
394 Passes 210
79% Pass Accuracy 70%
20 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.08.2025 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
24.11.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.09.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
10.05.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
04.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
30.08.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krylya Sovetov
2-2
AWAY FC Akhmat Grozny
1.17 xG 1.21
61% Ball Possession 39%
9 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 4
406 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krylya Sovetov and FC Akhmat Grozny couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 25% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Krylya Sovetov had 61% of the ball to FC Akhmat Grozny's 39%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 1.17 to 1.21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Krylya Sovetov and 2.17 for FC Akhmat Grozny.

What was the final score of Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Krylya Sovetov 2-2 FC Akhmat Grozny in the Russia - Premier League on 11/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krylya Sovetov vs FC Akhmat Grozny?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krylya Sovetov win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Krylya Sovetov 38%, draw 25%, FC Akhmat Grozny 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Krylya Sovetov) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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