FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 Krylya Sovetov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.92
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.92
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.71
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
13.55
X/1
16%
4.46
X/2
12%
7.32
X/X
7%
4.41
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
10%
5.77
2/X
7%
14.5
Value flag · 1/X at 13.55 — our 11% vs market 4.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-1.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Krylya Sovetov EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +7%
1.62/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.39
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
313 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 75%
27.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.4 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.55 xG 0.70
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
250 Passes 336
72% Pass Accuracy 75%
22 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.11.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 2-1 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
23.09.2024 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-1 HT 0-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
10.05.2024 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-2 HT 0-1 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
04.10.2023 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov 0-3 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUK
30.08.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 HT 1-0 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUK
22.07.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 1-2 HT 0-1 Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
3-1
AWAY Krylya Sovetov
2.65 xG 1.15
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
208 Passes 431
74% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 19
6 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny got the better of Krylya Sovetov 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Akhmat Grozny as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 35% of the ball to Krylya Sovetov's 65%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 2.65 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.00 for Krylya Sovetov.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov?

FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 Krylya Sovetov in the Russia - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Krylya Sovetov?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 46%, draw 25%, Krylya Sovetov 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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