Spartak Moskova 2-2 Zenit St. Petersburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 16 Aug 2025

📅16/08/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.67
Over 2.5
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.85
No
41%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.72
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.28
1/2 EV+ ✗
9%
30.0
1/X
7%
13.25
X/1
15%
5.87
X/2
11%
5.25
X/X
13%
4.01
2/1
6%
33.0
2/2
18%
3.59
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/2 at 30.0 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.9pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.5pp
38%
Away Win
37%
+0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
50%
+8.7pp
41%
BTTS No
50%
-8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 40%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
1.43/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.17
+36% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
16.4 Crosses 14.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartak Moskova
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.94 xG 0.35
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
340 Passes 377
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 2-1 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
11.02.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 HT 3-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova HAZ
24.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
17.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
03.04.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
02.03.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spartak Moskova
2-2
AWAY Zenit St. Petersburg
0.88 xG 1.41
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 6
382 Passes 230
88% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 20
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Spartak Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartak Moskova and Zenit St. Petersburg couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Spartak Moskova had 59% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 41%, shots finished 12-9, expected goals 0.88 to 1.41.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.00 for Zenit St. Petersburg.

What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Spartak Moskova 2-2 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 16/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 37%, draw 25%, Zenit St. Petersburg 38%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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