Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 11 Feb 2025

Zenit St. Petersburg
3-0 HT 3-0
Spartak Moskova
📅11/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.09
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
35%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.18
Over 2.5
45%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.55
No
46%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.35
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
21%
3.0
6+ Goals
12%
9.02
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.35 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
44%
-8.9pp
30%
Draw
25%
+4.9pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
42%
+12.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
58%
-12.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.8pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 34%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +17%
1.66/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.87
+2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +73%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.89 xG 1.28
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
354 Passes 334
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
17.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
03.04.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
02.03.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
20.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
07.05.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg swept aside Spartak Moskova 3-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Zenit St. Petersburg found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.67 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Zenit St. Petersburg 3-0 Spartak Moskova in the Friendlies on 11/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 35%, draw 30%, Spartak Moskova 35%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →