Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.76
No
59%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.3
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
3.58
6+ Goals
8%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.3 — our 31% vs market 24.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
2.5
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
10%
4.23
X/2
13%
7.96
X/X
14%
4.8
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
10%
6.05
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-6.5pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.7pp
41%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.2pp
59%
BTTS No
47%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -1%
1.22/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.17
-9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +32%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
299 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
22.5 Crosses 14.8
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.07 xG 1.22
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
360 Passes 301
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
17.04.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
03.04.2024 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
02.03.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
20.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
07.05.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.11.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
0-0
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.35 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
336 Passes 432
81% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg and Spartak Moskova fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 45% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 55%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.35 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 0.67 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 43%, draw 27%, Spartak Moskova 30%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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