FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 Khimki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 24 Aug 2024

📅24/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.73
No
49%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
3.09
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
8%
13.15
X/1
12%
4.83
X/2
10%
6.41
X/X
10%
4.58
2/1
9%
26.0
2/2
17%
4.6
2/X
8%
13.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-1.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS No
46%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Khimki EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.40/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.14
-3% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +10%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
26.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
18.4 Crosses 18.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Khimki
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.08 xG 0.94
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
274 Passes 307
72% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2023 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-0 HT 1-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
14.08.2022 Khimki Khimki 1-3 HT 0-2 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
12.12.2021 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 4-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
17.10.2021 Khimki Khimki 2-0 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
17.04.2021 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny 3-1 HT 2-0 Khimki Khimki RUS
22.08.2020 Khimki Khimki 1-2 HT 1-0 FC Akhmat Grozny FC Akhmat Grozny RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Akhmat Grozny
3-3
AWAY Khimki
1.38 xG 1.06
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 4
253 Passes 292
72% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 20
34 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Akhmat Grozny vs Khimki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Akhmat Grozny and Khimki shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was FC Akhmat Grozny at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, FC Akhmat Grozny had 48% of the ball to Khimki's 52%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 1.38 to 1.06.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Akhmat Grozny had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for FC Akhmat Grozny and 1.00 for Khimki.

What was the final score of FC Akhmat Grozny vs Khimki?

FC Akhmat Grozny 3-3 Khimki in the Russia - Premier League on 24/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Akhmat Grozny vs Khimki?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Akhmat Grozny win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Akhmat Grozny 41%, draw 26%, Khimki 33%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Akhmat Grozny) ✓ BTTS Yes
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