Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

Zenit St. Petersburg
0-0 HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
📅02/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2023/2024

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.47
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
23%
3.44
6+ Goals
9%
13.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.47 — our 29% vs market 23.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.26
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.3
X/1
17%
4.05
X/2
10%
9.18
X/X
8%
5.02
2/1
9%
23.6
2/2
9%
7.03
2/X
7%
15.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
+0.1pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+3.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zenit St. Petersburg v Spartak Moskova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 25%
+2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
2.02/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.60
+49% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
338 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 75%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.9
21.9 Crosses 15.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 3.2

Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.39 xG 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
338 Passes 364
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
25 Box Touches 22
13 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
20.08.2023 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-3 HT 0-1 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
07.05.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 3-2 HT 2-1 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.11.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
29.09.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 3-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUK
04.09.2022 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
09.07.2022 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-0 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUSK

Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 Spartak Moskova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
0-0
AWAY Spartak Moskova
0.56 xG 0.48
62% Ball Possession 38%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
439 Passes 247
85% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg and Spartak Moskova played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 62% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 38%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.56 to 0.48.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Zenit St. Petersburg 0-0 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 53%, draw 22%, Spartak Moskova 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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