Krasnodar 1-1 Rubin Kazan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 2 Mar 2024

📅02/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.86
Draw
33%
3.35
Away
24%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.13
6+ Goals
7%
19.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.53
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
12%
4.09
X/2
6%
8.05
X/X
18%
4.36
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
12%
6.53
2/X
8%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
50%
-7.0pp
33%
Draw
26%
+6.6pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.4pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.9pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 27%
+8% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.88/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.39
+36% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
11.9 Crosses 13.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Krasnodar
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.34 xG 0.83
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
435 Passes 269
82% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-2 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
09.04.2022 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
27.08.2021 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
25.04.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
17.10.2020 Krasnodar Krasnodar 3-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
09.07.2020 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 1-0 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Krasnodar
1-1
AWAY Rubin Kazan
1.17 xG 0.48
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
412 Passes 287
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Krasnodar and Rubin Kazan shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Krasnodar at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Krasnodar had 57% of the ball to Rubin Kazan's 43%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.17 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Krasnodar had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Krasnodar and 0.33 for Rubin Kazan.

What was the final score of Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan?

Krasnodar 1-1 Rubin Kazan in the Russia - Premier League on 02/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Krasnodar vs Rubin Kazan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Krasnodar win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Krasnodar 43%, draw 33%, Rubin Kazan 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Krasnodar), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Krasnodar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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