Spartak Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Zenit St. Petersburg — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Spartak Moskova
RUK
1-3
HT 0-1
Zenit St. Petersburg
RUS
Spartak Moskova 2-1 Zenit St. Petersburg — Actual Match Statistics
Spartak Moskova edged past Zenit St. Petersburg 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 37% — and on the day Spartak Moskova made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 48% of the ball to Zenit St. Petersburg's 52%, shots finished 10-4, expected goals 0.86 to 0.13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Spartak Moskova and 1.33 for Zenit St. Petersburg.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?
Spartak Moskova 2-1 Zenit St. Petersburg in the Russia - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Zenit St. Petersburg?
Before kick-off our model rated an Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 32%, draw 31%, Zenit St. Petersburg 37%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.