Rubin Kazan 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 16 Mar 2025

📅16/03/2025 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
21%
4.94
6+ Goals
8%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
3.68
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.6
X/1
11%
5.16
X/2
10%
5.88
X/X
15%
3.79
2/1
7%
33.0
2/2
14%
4.49
2/X
6%
13.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
38%
+3.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 36%
-4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +14%
0.96/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.05
-22% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +76%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
282 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
15.9 Crosses 14.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.32
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 Passes 245
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
22.07.2024 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-4 HT 1-3 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
09.03.2024 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
02.09.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.12.2021 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 HT 2-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
02.10.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
16.03.2014 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 3-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rubin Kazan nicked a narrow win over Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rubin Kazan as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.50 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Rubin Kazan 1-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 16/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 42%, draw 27%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rubin Kazan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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