Rubin Kazan 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.25
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.45
Over 2.5
34%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.1
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
6.09
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.45
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.9
X/1
17%
4.52
X/2
13%
6.05
X/X
19%
3.46
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
5.17
2/X
7%
15.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
41%
-4.1pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+3.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
65%
+1.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
35%
-1.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.7pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rubin Kazan EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -11%
0.85/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.01
-35% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
336 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
17.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.8
15.9 Crosses 14.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rubin Kazan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.81 xG 1.09
60% Ball Possession 39%
19 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
384 Passes 222
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
25 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
02.09.2023 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 HT 2-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
05.12.2021 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 HT 2-1 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
02.10.2021 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-1 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
16.03.2014 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 3-1 HT 2-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
20.10.2013 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2-1 HT 1-0 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan RUS
26.11.2012 Rubin Kazan Rubin Kazan 0-0 HT 0-0 Pari Nizhny Novgorod Pari Nizhny Novgorod RUS
POST-MATCH Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pari Nizhny Novgorod nicked a narrow win over Rubin Kazan 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Pari Nizhny Novgorod found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pari Nizhny Novgorod led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rubin Kazan and 1.33 for Pari Nizhny Novgorod.

What was the final score of Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Rubin Kazan 0-1 Pari Nizhny Novgorod in the Russia - Premier League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rubin Kazan vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rubin Kazan win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Rubin Kazan 36%, draw 31%, Pari Nizhny Novgorod 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rubin Kazan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rubin Kazan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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